The Political Moment in Turkey as at July 17th 2016 14:00

There is no army in Turkey, but Turkey is in war in three fronts:

One: civil war with PKK, two: war with many forces (mostly with YPG) in the north Syria, three: war with ISIL in the North Iraq.

There is no state control on the streets, because of riot of lumpen proleteriat. Theye are thought controlled by the state, but the mass is not controllable.

Economy is in the abyss. There is no cash in the hands of the state. They find and use black money.

Political situation is locked since June 2015 (the first general election).

The mass is polarized, but not as AKP and the others, but hungries and satiateds, like in the North and the South.

There can not be e second civil war, because of the first one. The stress accumulates in the collective unconcious.

EU has finished because of Brexit, so Turkey’s westernization project finished, but there is no place for Turkey in Shanghai Cooperation Organization and in the East. Turkey is like the bat in La Fontaine fables in the war between mammals and birds.

When Chinese qeople want to curse someone, they say him live in the interesting times. Turkey is in very interesting times.

As futurological perspective, there is no certain estimation for Turkey.

So it means a sharp curve in history for Turkey. And perturbation of axis and road bifurcation as in the catastrophe theory of Rene Thom and chaotic equaiton of Verhulst.

Footnote: 2 maps show 2 results of 2 general elections in 2015 in Turkey.